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S. Election Herbert F. Weisberg 1 Part I: The Presidential Election Outcome 2. Reversing the Decline: Voter Turnout in the 1992 Election Stephen M. Nicholas and Paul Allen beck 29 3. Kimball 72 4. The Partisan Choice: George Bush or Bill Clinton Chales E. ,and John H. kessel 112 5. Burden 136 6. The Perot Campaign Herb Asher 153 Page viii Part II: Group Voting in 1992 7. Structural Dependence or Group Loyalty? The Black Vote in 1992 Katherine Tate 179 8. Women Voters in the Year of the Woman Elizabeth Adekk Cook and Clyde Wilcox 195 9.

6. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Logit Analysis of Perception of Party Difference on Policy Matters (Republicans or Democrats vs. 8. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 1. 2. 3. 4. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 1. 2. 3. 4. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. S. election, including journalistic accounts and several edited volumes. This book is distinctive in terms of pulling together the views of several election analysts based primarily on the National Election Study (NES) 1992 surveys. The books written immediately after the election have to rely on quick analyses of media polls and exit polls, both of which are much more limited in the questions they can ask about popular attitudes.

The social-group topic is Page 11 continued in chapter 10, in which Audrey Haynes, Jon Krosnick, and I examine the structure of attitudes toward social groups as a means of understanding the nature of ideological conflict and polarization in the 1992 campaign. While the emphasis so far has been on presidential elections, the general framework described in this section has also been used to study congressional elections, but some further factors must be taken into account. In the 1980s the typical election was marked by 90+ percent of incumbent members of the House of Representatives who were running for reelection being returned to Congress.

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